Southampton vs Derby County: Prediction & Tips
· Championship · ENG
Our prediction for Southampton vs Derby County on Saturday, 21 November 2026: Southampton win 49%, draw 24%, Derby County win 16%. The strongest tip is Double chance 1X (Southampton or draw) at 82%.
Expected goals according to the model: Southampton 1.89 – 0.94 Derby County.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Southampton win | 49% |
| Draw | 24% |
| Derby County win | 16% |
| Southampton or draw | 82% |
| Draw or Derby County | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Not both teams to score | 47% |
Tips
Double chance 1X (Southampton or draw) · 82% ★★★★★
Over 2.5 goals · 63% ★★★
Southampton wins at least one half · 65% ★★★
Goal in the first half · 74% ★★★★
C. Larin (Southampton) to score · 28% ★★
Combo tip
1X · Over 2.5 goals · probability 43%
Form (last matches)
Southampton: D W W D L
Derby County: L D L L W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
All tips, line-ups & evaluation →
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