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Southampton vs Derby County: Prediction & Tips

· Championship · ENG

Our prediction for Southampton vs Derby County on Saturday, 21 November 2026: Southampton win 49%, draw 24%, Derby County win 16%. The strongest tip is Double chance 1X (Southampton or draw) at 82%.

Expected goals according to the model: Southampton 1.89 – 0.94 Derby County.

Probabilities

MarketChance
Southampton win49%
Draw24%
Derby County win16%
Southampton or draw82%
Draw or Derby County48%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Under 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score52%
Not both teams to score47%

Tips

Double chance 1X (Southampton or draw) · 82% ★★★★★
Over 2.5 goals · 63% ★★★
Southampton wins at least one half · 65% ★★★
Goal in the first half · 74% ★★★★
C. Larin (Southampton) to score · 28% ★★

Combo tip

1X · Over 2.5 goals · probability 43%

Form (last matches)

Southampton: D W W D L
Derby County: L D L L W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first

All tips, line-ups & evaluation →

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