Poland vs Sweden: Prediction & Tips
· UEFA Nations League B
Our prediction for Poland vs Sweden on Tuesday, 17 November 2026: Poland win 50%, draw 23%, Sweden win 26%. The strongest tip is Over 1.5 goals at 78%.
Expected goals according to the model: Poland 1.58 – 0.95 Sweden.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Poland win | 50% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Sweden win | 26% |
| Poland or draw | 72% |
| Draw or Sweden | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Not both teams to score | 58% |
Tips
Poland to win · 50% ★★
Over 1.5 goals · 78% ★★★★
Both teams to score: No · 58% ★★
Poland wins at least one half · 64% ★★★
Goal in the first half · 69% ★★★
R. Lewandowski (Poland) to score · 30% ★★
Combo tip
1 · Over 1.5 goals · Not both teams score · probability 20%
Form (last matches)
Poland: D L W L
Sweden: W W D W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
Follow live: goals, line-ups & live evaluation →
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