Italy vs France: Prediction & Tips
· UEFA Nations League A
Our prediction for Italy vs France on Thursday, 12 November 2026: Italy win 26%, draw 25%, France win 45%. The strongest tip is Double chance X2 (draw or France) at 72%.
Expected goals according to the model: Italy 1.28 – 1.51 France.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Italy win | 26% |
| Draw | 25% |
| France win | 45% |
| Italy or draw | 53% |
| Draw or France | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Not both teams to score | 49% |
Tips
Double chance X2 (draw or France) · 72% ★★★★
Over 2.5 goals · 60% ★★
Goal in the first half · 67% ★★★
Michael Olise (France) to score · 30% ★★
Combo tip
X2 · Over 2.5 goals · probability 34%
Form (last matches)
Italy: W L W D W
France: L W W D W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
Follow live: goals, line-ups & live evaluation →
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