Iceland vs Luxembourg: Prediction & Tips
· UEFA Nations League C
Our prediction for Iceland vs Luxembourg on Monday, 16 November 2026: Iceland win 76%, draw 15%, Luxembourg win 9%. The strongest tip is Over 1.5 goals at 78%.
Expected goals according to the model: Iceland 2.01 – 0.52 Luxembourg.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Iceland win | 76% |
| Draw | 15% |
| Luxembourg win | 9% |
| Iceland or draw | 87% |
| Draw or Luxembourg | 23% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Not both teams to score | 62% |
Tips
Iceland to win · 76% ★★★★
Over 1.5 goals · 78% ★★★★
Both teams to score: No · 62% ★★★
Handicap Iceland -1 (win by 2+) · 52% ★★
Iceland scores at least 2 · 60% ★★★
Iceland wins at least one half · 75% ★★★★
Combo tip
1 · Over 1.5 goals · Not both teams score · probability 35%
Form (last matches)
Iceland: D W W D
Luxembourg: W L L L
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
Follow live: goals, line-ups & live evaluation →
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