Belgium vs Italy: Prediction & Tips
· UEFA Nations League A
Our prediction for Belgium vs Italy on Sunday, 15 November 2026: Belgium win 51%, draw 23%, Italy win 29%. The strongest tip is Goal in the first half at 68%.
Expected goals according to the model: Belgium 1.56 – 1.23 Italy.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Belgium win | 51% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Italy win | 29% |
| Belgium or draw | 69% |
| Draw or Italy | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Not both teams to score | 48% |
Tips
Belgium to win · 51% ★★
Over 2.5 goals · 59% ★★
Belgium wins at least one half · 61% ★★★
Goal in the first half · 68% ★★★
Combo tip
1 · Over 2.5 goals · probability 29%
Form (last matches)
Belgium: L W L W L
Italy: W L W D W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
Follow live: goals, line-ups & live evaluation →
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