Atlético Morelia vs Leones Negros: Prediction & Tips
· Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura - Semi-finals · MEX
Our prediction for Atlético Morelia vs Leones Negros on Friday, 13 November 2026: Atlético Morelia win 50%, draw 23%, Leones Negros win 36%. The strongest tip is Goal in the first half at 68%.
Expected goals according to the model: Atlético Morelia 1.53 – 1.27 Leones Negros.
Probabilities
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Atlético Morelia win | 50% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Leones Negros win | 36% |
| Atlético Morelia or draw | 64% |
| Draw or Leones Negros | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Not both teams to score | 48% |
Tips
Atlético Morelia to win · 50% ★★
Over 2.5 goals · 59% ★★
Atlético Morelia wins at least one half · 60% ★★★
Goal in the first half · 68% ★★★
Combo tip
1 · Over 2.5 goals · probability 28%
Form (last matches)
Atlético Morelia: L W L W W
Leones Negros: L W W L W
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent first
Follow live: goals, line-ups & live evaluation →
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